“Medicare reform can no longer be ignored: Warnings from the 2019 Medicare trustees report,” by Joseph Antos and Robert E. Moffit, AEI Economic Perspectives
“The latest annual Medicare trustees report highlights the program’s growing fiscal challenge and reflects policymakers’ ongoing failure to prepare Medicare for the future. Program spending on a per-beneficiary basis rose sharply in 2018 and is anticipated to accelerate with the influx of baby boomers turning age 65 and rising health care costs. Medicare’s Hospital Insurance (or Part A) trust fund becomes insolvent in 2026, but the program is already in trouble from a budget perspective. More than $300 billion in general tax revenue was needed in 2018 to help fund $740 billion in Medicare spending. Bipartisan legislation will be needed to put the program on a sound basis for future generations. One starting point could be proposals advanced in the president’s budget and other reforms to improve the functioning of traditional fee-for-service Medicare. Adopting premium support, which converts the current uncapped subsidy to a defined contribution, would eliminate the fee-for-service incentives that drive up spending unnecessarily. Such a reform is controversial but less dramatic than many think.”
LTC Comment (from Stephen A. Moses, President, Center for Long-Term Care Reform):
A stark warning from two health policy analysts I trust. Bottom line: the Medicare trust fund insolvency in 2026 sounds close, but the damage is already being done as general funds make up the program’s shortfall every year. Click through to the full report here: https://www.aei.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/Medicare-Reform-Can-No-Longer-Be-Ignored.pdf.